Ea Illinois 
W-L: (14-20) PR = 94.0751
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1104 H Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 63-66
1107 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 65-57
1111 H Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 58-78
1114 H Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 53-99
1119 A TIFFI 62-50
1125 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 60-81
1128 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 62-**
1206 H Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 74-82
1210 H Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 59-68
1214 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 53-78
1218 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 76-72
1218 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 76-72
1222 A EWUNI **-56
101 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 59-68
103 H UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 61-65
108 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 71-61
110 A Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 74-70
113 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 57-55
116 H Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 63-74
118 A Blackburn **-49
122 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 59-51
124 H Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 68-73
129 H UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 68-76
131 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 59-77
205 H Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 68-77
207 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 60-54
210 H We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 70-79
214 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 78-72
219 H Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 70-73
221 H So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 68-70
226 A Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 71-67
228 H SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 50-77
304 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 77-71
305 H UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 63-66
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Valparaiso 63-66 -3 -2 -0.44
1107 A Nicholls 65-57 8 -1 + 2.72
1111 H Notre D 58-78 -20 -2 0.00
1114 H Kentucky 53-99 -46 -4 0.00
1125 H Ce Arkansas 60-81 -21 -1 -0.60
1128 H Purdue 62-** -47 -5 0.00
1206 H Lindenwood 74-82 -8 0 -1.65
1210 H Ea Kentucky 59-68 -9 0 -1.89
1214 H Iowa St 53-78 -25 -5 0.00
1218 A SIUE 76-72 4 0 + 2.43
1218 A SIUE 76-72 4 0 + 2.43
101 H SE MO St 59-68 -9 -1 -1.27
103 H UT Martin 61-65 -4 -1 -1.02
108 A Tenn Tech 71-61 10 0 + 2.02
110 A Tenn St 74-70 4 -1 + 3.40
113 A We Illinois 57-55 2 1 0.59
116 H Little Rock 63-74 -11 0 - -2.06
122 A So Indiana 59-51 8 1 1.10
124 H Morehead St 68-73 -5 -1 -1.31
129 H UT Martin 68-76 -8 -1 -1.02
131 H SE MO St 59-77 -18 -1 -1.27
205 H Tenn St 68-77 -9 -1 -0.62
207 A Tenn Tech 60-54 6 0 + 2.02
210 H We Illinois 70-79 -9 1 - -3.43
214 A Little Rock 78-72 6 0 1.96
219 H Morehead St 70-73 -3 -1 -1.31
221 H So Indiana 68-70 -2 1 - -2.92
226 A Lindenwood 71-67 4 0 + 2.37
228 H SIUE 50-77 -27 0 -1.59
304 A SIUE 77-71 6 0 + 2.43
305 H UT Martin 63-66 -3 -1 -1.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
116 H Little Rock 63-74 -11 0 - -2.06
210 H We Illinois 70-79 -9 1 - -3.43
221 H So Indiana 68-70 -2 1 - -2.92
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Nicholls 65-57 8 -1 + 2.72
1218 A SIUE 76-72 4 0 + 2.43
1218 A SIUE 76-72 4 0 + 2.43
108 A Tenn Tech 71-61 10 0 + 2.02
110 A Tenn St 74-70 4 -1 + 3.40
207 A Tenn Tech 60-54 6 0 + 2.02
226 A Lindenwood 71-67 4 0 + 2.37
304 A SIUE 77-71 6 0 + 2.43
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 63-66 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.06 -2.27
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 65-57 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.06 5.05
3 H Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 58-78 -3.32 4.16 -0.01 1.06 -1.77
3 H Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 53-99 -1.91 5.57 -0.01 1.06 -1.02
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 60-81 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.36
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 62-** -1.14 6.34 -0.01 1.06 -0.61
3 H Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 74-82 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.06 -2.92
3 H Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 59-68 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.06 -3.05
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 53-78 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.06 -0.64
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 76-72 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 76-72 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 59-68 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 H UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 61-65 -4.84 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 71-61 -5.81 1.66 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 A Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 74-70 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.06 6.49
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 57-55 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 63-74 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.06 -3.14
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 59-51 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 68-73 -5.13 2.35 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 H UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 68-76 -4.84 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 59-77 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 H Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 68-77 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 60-54 -5.81 1.66 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 H We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 70-79 -7.24 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.86
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 78-72 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.42
3 H Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 70-73 -5.13 2.35 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 H So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 68-70 -6.73 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.59
3 A Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 71-67 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.06 4.30
3 H SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 50-77 -5.41 2.07 -0.01 1.06 -2.88
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 77-71 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 H UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 63-66 -4.84 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
------
-5.14
|
winning pts = 43.9705 losing points = -49.1142
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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